Jan 13, 2025; Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Tommy Paul of United States of America gestures during his match against Christopher O’Connell of Australia in the first round of the men’s singles at the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park.
No. 2 seed Tommy Paul features in his first tournament since Roland Garros, as he battles home favourite Dan Evans at the 2025 ATP Lexus Eastbourne Open on Wednesday. This Round of 16 tie will be the third meeting between these two stars. Paul will be looking to capture his first title at the British town, having finished as the runner-up here in 2023.
World No. 13 Tommy Paul was beaten by Argentine Francisco Cerundolo in the Eastbourne International final two years ago. The American is enjoying a high moment in his career of late. However, he is yet to pick up a title in 2025 – and turns to Eastbourne for a change in fortune. The 28-year-old comes into this match with a 25-9 record this year – including semifinal runs in Adelaide, Dallas, Houston and Rome.
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A former Top-25 player and a proven match winner, Dan Evans has dropped to No. 170 in the ATP Rankings. The British veteran is one of the ‘last of the Mohicans’ and continues to dazzle at the age of 35. Mostly taking part in ATP Challengers, he has struggled to get past the qualifiers in most events. Evans produced a phenomenal display against Kecmanovic in the Round of 32 to improve his 2025 record to 3-3 and book his place in Wednesday’s marquee clash.
Tommy Paul vs Dan Evans Head to Head Record
The head-to-head between Tommy Paul and Dan Evans currently stands at 1-1. This will be their first meeting since 2022, when both matches took place.
Paul and Evans have faced each other twice on hard courts. The first of these was at the Canada Masters in Toronto, where the Brit made a comeback after getting dragged through the mud in the opening set. However, Paul drew level in this duel when he helped Team USA earn a point in the Davis Cup by beating his lower ranked opponent. Interestingly, there has never been a straight sets finish when these two stars have faced one another.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2022 Davis Cup | Round Robin | Tommy Paul | 6-4 4-6 6-4 |
| 2022 Toronto | Quarterfinal | Daniel Evans | 1-6 6-3 6-4 |
Tommy Paul vs Dan Evans Career Comparison
| Tommy Paul | Category | Dan Evans |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 4 | ATP Singles Titles | 2 |
| 0 | ATP Doubles Titles | 0 |
| 0 | Masters-1000 Titles | 0 |
| QF (Paris 2024) | Olympics Best Performance | R2 (Paris 2024) |
| No. 13 | Current World Ranking | No. 170 |
Tommy Paul vs Dan Evans ATP Eastbourne Open 2025 Prediction
Over time, the American has crafted a potent grass court game for himself. He has reached two finals on this surface, including a title charge at Queen’s Club last year. Paul will make full use of the tired legs of Evans that had to endure a three set battle on Monday. With an 85% service game win percentage and 50% break point conversion rate on grass, Tommy Paul is the firm favourite.
Prediction: Tommy Paul in straight sets.
Tommy Paul vs Dan Evans ATP Eastbourne Open 2025 Betting Odds
Here are the odds for the Round of 16 match between Tommy Paul (favourite) and Dan Evans (underdog) on Wednesday (as per BetMGM):
- Tommy Paul Win: 1/3
- Dan Evans Win: 23/10
Paul has been handed favourable odds to win this match in straight sets. He walks away with a 75% likelihood of entering the last eight stage, according to the implied probability on the money line. Here are the in-match odds (as per BetMGM):
- Total Games Under 22.5: 22/25
- Total Games By Evans Over 11.5: 10/11
- Total Games By Paul Over 12.5: 13/20
- Evans to Win At Least 1 Set (No): Evens
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