Jasmine Paolini was the runner-up of the last edition of Wimbledon.
Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
The runner-up of the last edition, Jasmine Paolini will look to go one step ahead this year when she will kick off her 2025 Wimbledon campaign against Anastasija Sevastova. The Italian ace prepared for the Grand Slam event through Bad Homburg where she made into the semifinals. Anastasija Sevastova, on the other hand, is making a return to Grand Slam after an injury.
Also Read: Wimbledon Championships 2025 Women’s Odds: Who Has the Best Odds of Winning the Title?
Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Preview
Jasmine Paolini will play her first match in Wimbledon since the heartbreak in 2024 final. It was her second consecutive defeat in Grand Slam finals. The Italian ace participated in Bad Homburg Open and had a semifinal run after losing to eventual runner-up, Iga Swiatek. Paolini had a roller-coaster ride this season after an injury. She improved her ranking to No. 4 in the WTA and also won the Rome Masters this year. Jasmine Paolini has posted a 27-11 record in the ongoing season. She reached the semifinals in Miami and Stuttgart.
Anastasija Sevastova, 2018 Wimbledon semifinalist, is coming back after an injury-hit season. The Latvian ace missed 14 months of tennis action due to an ACL injury. She made her comeback with the 2025 Madrid Open and beat players like Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Jeļena Ostapenko. However, the veteran lost to Diana Shnaider in the third round. Sevastova’s best run came in the Morocco Open when she reached the quarterfinals. Lack of preparation for the grass-court would be a major issue for Sevastova ahead of a toughest clash against Paolini.
Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Head to Head
Jasmine Paolini holds the 2-0 lead over Anastasija Sevastova in the WTA H2H meetings. In one completed game, Paolini had the last laugh 6-2, 6-3 in the Rome Masters. In another game, Sevastova retired due to injury.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Cincinnati | Qualifiers | Jasmine Paolini | 6-1, 2-1 (retired) |
| 2020 | Rome Masters | First Round | Jasmine Paolini | 6-2, 6-3 |
Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Career Comparison
| Jasmine Paolini | Category | Beatriz Haddad Maia |
| 4 | Current Ranking | 406 |
| 413-281 | Career W-L | 453–272 |
| 27-11 | YTD W-L | 5-5 |
| 3 | Career Titles | 4 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Wimbledon 2025 Prediction
Jasmine Paolini takes clear advantage on the Latvian veteran in the first round. Sevastova is coming through an injury and posted a 5-5 record in the season. The lack of regularity keeps Sevastova out of the match. The Italian ace should wrap up this game in straight sets. She has a right balance and mental strength on the grass-court. A decent preparation in Bad Homburg will help her to maintain the winning streak in Grand Slam opening round.
Prediction: Paolini to win in straight sets.
Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Wimbledon 2025 Betting Odds
Paolini enters as the 1/12 favorite, reflecting her recent form and grass-court experience. Sevastova, at 9/1, brings value from a long career where she made upset over top-seed player. Still, the odds back the world No. 4 to prevail.
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Jasmine Paolini: 1/12
Sevastova: 9/1
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):
Total Games Over 20.5: 21/10
Total Games Under 20.5: 4/11
Total Games won by Paolini Over 12.5: 29/10
Total Games won by Sevastova Over 11.5: 4/5
Total Sets Over 2.5: 17/5
Total Sets Under 2.5: 2/9
(All Odds According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
