Mets vs. Orioles Game 1 odds, line, prediction, time: 2025 MLB picks, best bets for July 10 from proven model

The Baltimore Orioles will look to win their fourth game in the past five when they battle the New York Mets in Game 1 of a doubleheader on Thursday. Wednesday’s game was rained out after New York had earned a 7-6 win on Tuesday night. The Mets (53-39), who have won five of the past six games, are 20-25 on the road this season. The Orioles (40-50), who are fifth in the American League East, are 19-23 on their home field in 2025.

First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 12:05 p.m. ET. The Orioles have won five of the last nine meetings with the Mets. New York is a -138 favorite on the money line (risk $138 to win $100) in the latest Orioles vs. Mets odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 9. Before making any Mets vs. Orioles picks, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters Week 16 of the 2025 MLB season 45-38 on top-rated MLB picks. It has excelled making home run prop picks this season, returning more than 28 units of profit. Anybody following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.    

Now, the model has set its sights on Mets vs. Orioles and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Mets vs. Orioles, which you can get in on with a DraftKings promo code or a FanDuel promo code.

Why the Mets can win

New York is expected to send left-hander David Peterson (6-4, 3.18 ERA) to the mound in Game 1. In 17 starts this season, he has allowed 93 hits, 36 earned runs and 37 walks with 87 strikeouts in 102 innings of work. He is coming off a 3-2 win over the Milwaukee Brewers on July 3. In that game, he pitched 6.2 innings, allowing five hits, two runs – one earned – with three walks and four strikeouts.

Among the Mets’ offensive leaders include first baseman Pete Alonso. In 92 games this season, he is batting .290 with 25 doubles, one triple, 21 homers and 75 RBI. In Tuesday’s win over the Orioles, he was 2-for-4 with a homer and two RBI. He was 2-for-4 with two homers, five RBI and three runs scored in a 12-6 win over the Yankees on Sunday. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Orioles can win

Right-hander Charlie Morton (5-7, 5.47 ERA) is expected to get the start for Baltimore. In 19 games, including 13 starts this year, he has logged 77.1 innings, allowing 85 hits, 47 earned runs and 35 walks, while striking out 84. He earned a 3-2 win over the Atlanta Braves on Friday. In 5.1 innings pitched, he allowed six hits, two earned runs and one walk, while striking out seven.

First baseman Ryan O’Hearn is among the Orioles’ top hitters. In 77 games, he is hitting .286 with 13 doubles, 11 homers and 32 RBI. He was 1-for-4 with a double and two RBI in Tuesday’s series opener. He has hits in six of his last eight games. In nine career games against the Mets, he has one double and six RBI. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

How to make Mets vs. Orioles picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 9.5 combined runs, and it says one side of the money line has all the value. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s MLB picks. 

So who wins Mets vs. Orioles, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.